Summit County Real Estate Insights

I’m Tucker Zimmerman, a Summit County Realtor based in Frisco and an Associate Broker with Slifer Smith and Frampton. This blog covers the trends, neighborhood updates, regulatory changes, and practical guidance that shape buying and selling in Frisco, Breckenridge, Silverthorne, Dillon, Keystone, and Copper Mountain.

You will find clear explanations of local market data, short term rental updates, new construction activity, seasonal demand patterns, and the everyday nuances that influence property values in the mountains. My goal is to give you straightforward information you can use whether you own a home here or are considering one.

If you ever want context behind the numbers or help comparing neighborhoods, reach out anytime. I’m always glad to share local insight.

Contact Tucker Zimmerman
Associate Broker, Slifer Smith and Frampton
Phone: 303 907 9129
Email: TZimmerman@SliferSummit.com
Website: SoldInSummit.com

April 7, 2022

Summit County Ski Resorts 2022 Closing Day

 

The 2022 ski season is beginning to wind down here in Summit County. There are less people wandering Frisco Main Street but there's still over 2 weeks left of great spring skiing and snowboarding. It's my personal favorite time of year for bump skiing. 

Here are the closing dates for our local resorts and don't forget backcountry skiing goes year round! 

• Arapahoe Basin: mid-June

• Breckenridge: May 30

• Cooper: April 17

• Copper Mountain: April 24

• Granby: April 10

• Keystone: April 17

• Loveland: May 8

• Steamboat: April 10

• Vail: May 1

• Winter Park: sometime in May

As of today, April 7th, 2022. I have a few free Loveland Ski area tickets to give away. Give me a call at 303-907-9129 and if I still have them they are all yours. 

 

April 5, 2022

February 2022 Market Analysis-Courtesy of Land Title

To Our Summit County Customers and Community,


Please note that you will see new additions within the monthly report this year: 
One key change is that there is a cumulative total bar for 2022 in all the resort counties on page 2. For example, the  February report will show the gross volume for January in all resort communities, then each month that number will be updated with the last full month so there is a cumulative running total. Also, on page 21 there is a helpful breakdown on Deed Restricted unit sales.

 

Here are highlights:

  • Market Analysis by Area for February 2022: There were a total of 107 transactions and $120,161,549 in monetary volume. The average transaction price for all 18 reported areas, plus Deed Restricted transactions, was $1,205,520, average residential price was $1,312,406 and average residential PSF was $749.
  • Market Analysis by Area 2022 (2 Months) YTD:  There are a total of 231 transactions with $286,419,970 monetary volume. the average transaction price is $1,305,404, the average residential price is $1,377,942 and the average residential PPSF is $746.
  • Market Snapshot for FULL Years 2022 vs 2021:  Average Indicators for $: Single Family +36, Multi- Family +7% and Vacant Land +27%. Median Indicators for Single Family +36%, Multi- Family +6% and Vacant Land +17%.
  • Market Analysis % Change YTD February 2022:  Monetary volume in February 2022 was down -10% from February 2021. Transactions were down 29% from February 2021.  YTD 2022, $ volume is pacing 9% up from YTD 2021, and transactions are 26% down from YTD 2021.
  • Residential Cost Analysis:  Residential volume in February had 81 transactions with $106,304,854 gross volume. There were 39 properties that sold for $1M and above in February.  There were 31 Single Family, 50 Multi-Family and 10 Vacant Land transactions in February 2022. 
  • Average Price History by Type- 2022: Average price for residential Single Family: $2,330,301 Multi- Family: $801,514 and Vacant Land: $641,265
  • Comparative Historical Cost Analysis Comparison 2022-2021-2020: YTD 2022, there were 183 residential transactions and $252,163,353 gross $ volume with 89 properties selling for over $1M. YTD 2021, there were 245 transactions with $261,665,817 gross $ volume with 68 properties selling for over $1M. YTD 2020, 209 transactions with $175,227,700 gross $ volume with 58 properties selling for over $1M.
  • Top Lender Analysis February 2022: There were 365 loans in February, 77 loans were related to sales, there were 174 REFI's and 114 loans were timeshare related. 28% of the real estate closings were cash transactions. 
  • Foreclosure 2022 Update: There were 2 Foreclosures in February 2022 compared to 1 last February 2021.
  • Purchaser Profile Abstract:  There were 40 upper end sales in February 2022. Our buyers for real estate transactions for February 2022: Local buyers at 28%, with the Front Range demographic at 46% and 26% were out of state buyers with 0% International. There is also a graph included showing demographic trends through 2013 on page 19.

Please note that Land Title data comes from actual recorded transactions at the County Clerk and Recorder’s Office for that particular month. The information is not directly related to MLS data. The data is an unofficial tabulation of Summit County Records that are believed to be reasonably accurate. If you choose to utilize this marketing information in any publications or websites, please make sure you are quoting Land Title as your source. You are welcome to utilize this link within your own websites.

 

           Click here for the February 2022 Market Analysis         

Posted in Market Updates
March 10, 2022

Ukraine impact on Colorado ski real estate & What will Cause Colorado ski real estate prices to fall

From our friends at Fairview Lending. All opinions are that of the author. 

 

Ukraine impact on Colorado ski real estate

What a few weeks it has been.  The stock markets have been up, then down.  Interest rates have also spiked only to fall shortly thereafter.  I’ve been asked by several realtors in various ski towns, what is the impact of Ukraine and real estate prices in Colorado.  Will there be a surge in prices as buyers search for “safe places” and safe assets like we saw during COVID?

What has happened economically since the invasion of Ukraine?

  1. Fed on track for rate increases: the federal reserve has confirmed that rate increases are on track and they might need to have larger increases in subsequent meetings as inflation remains stubbornly high
  2. 10 year treasury declined / mortgage rates declined: It is interesting that the federal reserve is clear that they are raising rates, but at the same time interest rates are falling. Remember the fed only controls the short term markets and not long term treasuries, which mortgages are pegged off.  Treasuries are “set” by market forces, in this case, there is a huge flight to safe assets like US treasuries during times of war and uncertainty.  As more people buy treasuries their prices go up, and in turn yields (long term rates) go down.  This creates a whole new problem for the federal reserve and could force them to increase rates even more.
  3. Stock market has declined substantially: As mortgage rates went down due to a flight to safer assets, the stock market has also gone down substantially as investors are nervous about riskier assets.  As stocks go down, wealth decreases which at some point decreases consumer confidence.

Will there be a flight to “safety” in Colorado ski towns?

With everything going on since the Ukraine invasion, it makes me wonder if we will see another Covid type repeat in Colorado ski towns where there is an insatiable demand.  During Covid, there was a huge “flight to safety” as people wanted to be in smaller, safer markets.  This led to huge price jumps in every ski market in Colorado with some topping 50% increases year over year.

With the war in Ukraine continuing, will Colorado ski towns see the same response in real estate to the current crisis?  I think the factors today are a bit different, I don’t think there is the same perception of personal “safety” from the crisis in Ukraine but there is now a big push out of risky assets into safer assets which fits with Colorado ski real estate.

Will there be an increase or a decrease in Colorado ski real estate prices?

Although we will not see another huge increase in real estate prices in the mountains like the Covid bump, it will remain desirable as buyers look for safe places to park assets as opposed to the stock market.  This will keep Mountain real estate a desirable asset to own which will keep prices high albeit the appreciation rates will be slower than the past 3 years.

Summary

 

I don’t think that the Ukraine invasion is market moving unto itself for Colorado ski real estate, but the invasion does put further pressure on other assets which will drive high net worth individuals to diversify their portfolio into safer assets.  From a real estate perspective, mountain real estate will continue to be a “haven” for investors looking to hedge against downside risk.  Although I don’t think we will see the same appreciation we saw during Covid, the mountain communities look to stay at their highs with little respite in sight for buyers as prices look to increase a bit further.

 

What will cause Colorado ski real estate prices to fall

If you’ve been reading the news, it seems to be everywhere, complaints against vail resorts are plastered all over the media.  With Vail the largest owner of resorts in Colorado and the United States will this derail the real estate party in ski towns or is there something bigger lurking that will radically change the real estate trajectory.  Will we see a 2007 repeat in Colorado ski real estate?

Complaints about Vail resorts impact on ski real estate

I recently read a Denver post article about Vail resorts and the diminished guest experience.  It gave a scathing review of Vail resorts.  On top of that I have written prior that Vails stock is taking a beating as a result of their lackluster execution of the ski season this year.

  1. Epic pass sales are up 76% vs. the 2019/2020 ski season, meaning the slopes would likely be more crowded to start with regardless of any labor issues.
  2. With resort living becoming increasingly more expensing, MTN’s wages are allegedly not keeping up in their local markets
  3. A pandemic-triggered escalation of real estate prices has reduced the number of homes available to local workers for rental
  4. H2-B and J-1 international work visas, which ski resorts have historically used to fill employment gaps, are in especially short supply leading to continued labor issues.

It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out what was going to happen this season.  Vail dropped the price of their passes by 20% to sell more and it worked.  They sold 76% more passes but unfortunately they did not add any new capacity.  This has led to a “diminished guest experience”.  How could any rational person not see that this would happen?

Unfortunately part of the issues are a result of Vails own making, but the overwhelming majority is well outside of their control.  For example in Breckenridge house prices have increased almost 40% in one year.  This has priced would be renter out as houses get sold.  Furthermore, the demand to visit/live in the mountain towns has skyrocketed creating even more demand for workers with less housing.  Unfortunately I don’ see a great solution to the issues facing Vail.

On a positive note, Vail’s performance or lack thereof will have no impact on real estate prices in the various resort communities.   This will definitely not be the impetus for any real estate pull back.

Will rising interest rates impact purchases in Colorado ski towns?

There is no doubt interest rates are rising on treasuries and in turn mortgage rates.  The federal reserve has telegraphed a more aggressive rate stance which will put further upward pressure on mortgage rates.  How will the increasing rates impact Colorado ski real estate?  Long and short, interest rates should have a limited impact due to the number of cash purchases.  In most major ski resorts in Colorado the number of cash purchases are between around 40% and 70%. This is a huge percentage of purchases that are not interest rate sensitive as they have no mortgage.  Here is a past article on this topic: Best Colorado ski town investments.  With such a large percentage of properties being bought with cash, a move upward in rates is unlikely to be the catalyst for a slowdown in ski real estate.

What is the real risk to ski real estate?

If mortgage rates and the performance of the largest ski hill operator are not going to slow down ski real estate, what will?  With appreciation averaging north of 25% per annum throughout the ski towns with some as high as 40%, the pace of increases is unsustainable.

Resort real estate is highly correlated to stock market performance. With the huge quantity of cash transactions, much of these funds were from gains on equities.  Furthermore, the demographics of various ski towns throughout Colorado are heavily invested in the stock market due to their net worth.  As the stock market is now beginning to correct, ski real estate will invariably slow.

Will there be a correction in ski real estate like the stock market?

With a high correlation between the stock market and ski real estate, will there also be a correction in ski real estate.  As of writing this the Nasdaq is off almost 15% for the year with the S&P down around 10%.  With a correction underway, what happens to real estate?

Fortunately, although there is a correlation between the stock market and ski real estate it is not a one for one correlation.  For example a 20% drop in the market, might lead to a flattening or possibly a loss of 2-5% in ski real estate.  Remember even if real estate values flatten this is after 30% gains last year in many markets so it is important to keep it in perspective.

Summary

 

Long and short, I don’t see a fire-sale coming with values plunging in ski real estate as the market corrects, but the market will flatten and there is a risk of a small give back in appreciation depending on how severe the correction is.  Fortunately there is zero excess inventory in the various resort towns and build prices are extremely high coupled with so many cash purchases, the downside risk in ski real estate is radically different than 2007.

Posted in Market Updates
Dec. 30, 2021

December 2021 Market Update-Courtesy of Land Title

To Our Summit County Customers and Community,

Please note that Land Title data comes from actual recorded transactions at the County Clerk and Recorder’s Office for that particular month. The information is not directly related to MLS data. The data is an unofficial tabulation of Summit County Records that are believed to be reasonably accurate. If you choose to utilize this marketing information in any publications or websites, please make sure you are quoting Land Title as your source. You are welcome to utilize this link within your own websites.

PAGE8SUMMITNOVEMBER2021

 

  • Market Analysis by Area for November 2021: There were a total of 238 transactions and $286,148,104 in monetary volume. The average transaction price for all 18 reported areas, plus Deed Restricted transactions, was $1,167,089, average residential price was $1,248,038 and average residential PSF was $747.

  • Market Analysis by Area YTD 2021 (11 Months): There were a total of 2,685 transactions totaling $2,847,896,769 in monetary volume. Average transaction price was $1,084,960, average residential price was $1,113,676 and average residential PPF was $675.

  • Market Snapshot for FULL Years 2021 vs 2020:  Average Indicators for $: Single Family +24%, Multi- Family +23% and Vacant Land +28%. Median Indicators for Single Family +21%, Multi- Family +21% and Vacant Land +36%.

  • Market Analysis % Change YTD November 2021: Monetary volume in November 2021 was down 25% from November 2020. Transactions were down 40% from November 2020.  YTD 2021, $ volume is pacing 36% up and transactions are up 7% from YTD 2020. 

  • Residential Cost Analysis:  Residential volume in November had 194 transactions with $242,119,336 gross volume. There were 89 properties that sold for $1M and above in November.  There were 84 Single Family, 110 Multi-Family and 12 Vacant Land transactions. 

  • Average Price History by Type-YTD 2021: Average price for residential Single Family: $1,720,419, Multi- Family: $743,429 and Vacant Land: $473,558.

  • Comparative Historical Cost Analysis Comparison 2021-2020-2019: YTD 2021, there were 2206 residential transactions and $2,456,768,244 gross $ volume with 817 properties selling for over $1M. In 2020, there were 2054 transactions with $1,858,415,856 gross $ volume with 589 properties selling for over $1M. In 2019, 1741 transactions with $1,426,370,906 gross $ volume with 402 properties selling for over $1M.

  • Top Lender Analysis November 2021: There were 502 loans in November, 177 loans were related to sales, there were 218 REFI's and 107 loans were timeshare related. 26% of the real estate closings were cash transactions. 

  • Market Highlights:  Please see page 11 of the Market Analysis- Note the higher priced sale in November 2021 in Breckenridge (Four O'Clock Sub) at $5,750,000. The top priced PSF was in Breckenridge (One Ski Hill Place) at $1,742. 

  • Purchaser Profile Abstract:  There were 98 upper end sales in November 2021 compared to 119 in October. Our buyers for real estate transactions for November 2021: Local buyers at 27%, with the Front Range demographic at 42% and 31% are out of state buyers with 0% International. There is also a graph included showing demographic trends through 2013 on page 17.

View Full Report Here

Posted in Market Updates
Dec. 22, 2021

New Summit County Rental Regulations Explained

We finally have some clarity on the county's path for new rules surrounding short-term rentals. Thank goodness Summit County officials took a more reasonable approach than the Town of Breckenridge, who decided to effectively ban new STR's in all but a select few condominium buildings.  

The county's new rules are only applicable for un-incorporated Summit County. These rules apply to areas such as Wildernest, Summit Cove, Dillon Valley, Peak 7, and more. If you own property or are looking for property within any of the town limits these rules are NOT applicable. Other Summit County Towns such as Frisco and Dillon will likely be making changes to their own rental rules, so make sure to check my blog often for updates on that. 

 

Why the changes? Summit County has always been and will always be a resort destination. Second homes will always exist in Summit County. However, with the rising popularity of AirBNB and VRBO, many full time residents feel they are being priced out of living in the area. There are increasingly fewer long-term leases available to locals. Without a local workforce, businesses can't function or cater to our visitors. Personally, I believe all the above to be true but I'm not comfortable restricting owners property rights and I think there are better ways to solve the locals housing problem. 

Relatively, the new rules are reasonable. The county officials had to do something or else the radicals would have done...well, something radical. Below is a brief summary of the new rules. For the full ordinance click here.

The majority of second home owners will be able to rent their property a maximum of 135 nights per year. There is no restriction on what nights you can rent, so an owner could maximize profit by only renting during the highest revenue nights per year such as Christmas, New Years, and Fourth of July.

If your second home is in a resort overlay zone such as Keystone or Copper Mountain, there is no cap on nights.

Locals will be able to rent their primary home a maximum of 60 nights per year for a reduced license fee. 

If your property meets a strict set of criteria and goes thru a review process, you could obtain a Type III rental license allowing you additional occupancy or unlimited rental nights per year. Some of the guidelines for a Type III license are below. You can read all the guidelines on page 23 here

  • For Single Family Homes
    • A minimum distance of 100 feet from occupied areas (including hot tub or fire pit) of your property to the neighboring lots
    • OR the existence of an existence of an Accessory Dwelling Unit (ADU). An ADU is a great option if you have the space, this could be an apartment on top of a detached garage which you long-term rent to a local. This give you stable income and should qualify the primary home for a Type III license
  • For Multi-Family or Condominium Complexes
    • Only available in large condominium complexes with over 100 units. 
    • Significant on-site amenities as evidenced by at least 3 of the following: pool, hot tub, sauna, game room, tennis / pickle ball courts, or other significant amenities as approved by the Review Authority
    • Direct, private shuttle to a ski area or public transit within 100 feet of the property

 

If you'd like to find a property that would allow for a specific license type please reach out to me at TZimmerman@CBMP.com or call me at 303-907-9129. I have a list of all exempt buildings in Breckenridge or I can focus on properties that would be eligible for a Type III license. 

Posted in Happenings
Dec. 13, 2021

Condominium, Townhome, or Single Family Home?

How to Choose What's Right for Your Mountain Home

Congratulations! You've made the decision to start your search for a mountain home. Now it's time to decide what type of property is right for you. Let's talk about the pros and cons of each!

 

Condominiums

Search Summit County Condominiums

Generally speaking condominiums are the least expensive option in Summit County but that's only due to their smaller size. In fact, condominiums actually have the highest price per square foot of the three options. As of the date of this post, condominiums throughout Summit County have a median sold price of $609/FT. So what are the benefits that justify this higher price per SF: 

  • Location, Location, Location-Condominiums buildings are going to have the best access to whatever you want to access. Whether that be ski-in-ski-out access or main street dining just out your door condominiums offer the best access.
  • Amenities- The majority of condominium buildings offer some sort of amenity. In our market, a community hot tub is a fairly standard offering. Some complexes offer private pools, tennis courts, fitness centers, game rooms and more. The highest end offerings could include a private shuttle or access to private lakes for fishing and paddle sports. Don't forget that these amenity spaces aren't included in the price/SF I mentioned above so you're actually getting a better price/SF than it appears. If you value the use of amenities, condominiums are a great way to go. 
  • Low or No Worry Maintenance- When you buy a condominium, you are buying the space inside the walls of your unit. For most buildings this means that you won't need to worry about a vast majority of maintenance expenses. If the water heater or furnace goes out, that will likely be an issue central to the building and not your sole expense. HOA's keep a reserve of funds for these emergency repairs. You can also count on the HOA to deal with things like building repainting as necessary, parking lot maintenance, snow removal, etc. 
  • All Inclusive Dues-Many Condominiums include all inclusive dues of all of your utilities. This even encompasses cable and internet service. What that means for you is that you can budget a fixed amount every month for your cost of ownership. As opposed to a single family home where your heating bill can spike in December. The HOA also is able to negotiate collectively to receive better rates for things like internet service. So next time you seen an HOA fee that seems high ask me what is included rather than writing off the property all together. 

So what are the cons? 

  • Homeowners Association-is HOA a bad word? Maybe. We've all heard the story about the resident HOA snitch who goes around reporting neighbors for violations. Let's call her Glenda. Maybe your Christmas wreath on your door violates some obscure rule, does it affect Glenda? No. Is she going to report you anyway? Absolutely!  In reality, HOA's are generally a benefit. They protect your asset and  your property value. They also make sure someone isn't in your parking spot when you arrive later than you expected because of the Blizzard on I-70.
  • Space and Privacy-If your dream is to get all of your friends and family under one roof, condominiums are probably not the way to go. While it's possible to host a super bowl watch party in your condominium, uncle Jerry may not be happy sitting on that wooden barstool for 4 hours. Likewise, if you want a private hot tub, let's explore a townhome or single family home. 
  • Neighbors-This is pretty self explanatory and is hit or miss. You could have great respectful neighbors but suddenly they decide to sell their property. I'm sure almost everyone has lived in an apartment building before with noisy upstairs neighbors but if not, below is a video for you. I generally prefer top floor units or any units in concrete construction buildings. 

 

Townhomes and Duplexes

The best of both worlds! Modern townhome and duplex architecture has evolved to a point where once you're inside, you will be fooled to think you're in a private single family home. Many duplex neighborhoods use clever design to make sure that the few shared walls will not effect your experience. Take for example this floor plan from the Lakota Duplexes in Winter Park, CO. You'll notice the shared wall (bottom) does not border your sleeping spaces, this property also featured staggered decks for privacy. 

 

Pros: 

  • Lower starting price point than single family home. Generally speaking starting in the $700K-$800K range for Summit County (sometimes less expensive). Some luxury duplexes in prime areas can go as high as $2 Million. 
  • More privacy than condominiums.
  • Garages are common. You may need to compromise for a one-car garage or a two-car tandem garage
  • Some complexes have amenities like an owners clubhouse or a private shuttle to the ski area.  
  • Homeowners Association is commonly in place to maintain the appearances of the properties and take care of exterior issues. At a minimum you will likely have a party wall agreement with your neighbor to structure maintenance costs.
  • Shared expenses such as snow removal

Cons: 

  • HOA fees can add an additional expense. Particularly if you don't have interest in using amenities. 
  • Typically smaller garages than a single family home.
  • All Inclusive HOA fees are less common than condominiums so you will have more variable expense.

 

Single Family Homes

Search Summit County Single Family Homes

With a median sales price of $1,525,000 the Summit County single family home epitomizes mountain luxury. If you want a property for big family gatherings or for maximum short-term rental revenue, the single family home may be the route to go. Because single family homes are on individual lots you have more privacy and separation from your neighbors. And depending on if you're located in a covenant controlled community, you will have more freedom in how you use your property. Say you'd like to store a snowmobile trailer or a boat at your mountain home, we can find you a property for that. Conversely, some of the newer developments are covenant controlled homeowners associations to maintain a certain aesthetic.

Another great benefit, is some single family home lots may be eligible to accommodate an Accessory Dwelling Unit (ADU). Think of this as an additional apartment on top of your detached garage. Rent it to a trusted local tenant for extra revenue and the security of knowing someone is nearby to check on your mountain home. Summit County also has programs to waive water and sewer tap fees for a locals housing ADU and they are discussing new benefits. 

Pros: 

  • Maximum Rental Revenue
  • More privacy than condominiums and townhomes
  • Private garages, land, and detached storage areas
  • Potential to add an Accessory Dwelling Unit  
  • Neighborhoods with and without homeowners associations are available. Reach out and I'll help you focus your search depending on which you prefer
  • Flexibility on how you use your property

Cons: 

  • Median Price is higher than other property types
  • Higher variable expenses and more maintenance items to stay on top of
  • Snow removal costs

 

Posted in Buying
Dec. 2, 2021

Summit County Market Analysis for October 2021

Thanks to our friends at Land Title for the below update on Summit County Sales. For the all the data, click here.

 

To Our Summit County Customers and Community,

October was the biggest monetary volume month on record for Summit County and $432.4 million in sales!

PAGE 8 SUMMIT OCTOBER  2021_edited

Please note that Land Title data comes from actual recorded transactions at the County Clerk and Recorder’s Office for that particular month. The information is not directly related to MLS data. The data is an unofficial tabulation of Summit County Records that are believed to be reasonably accurate. If you choose to utilize this marketing information in any publications or websites, please make sure you are quoting Land Title as your source. You are welcome to utilize this link within your own websites.

  • Market Analysis by Area for October 2021: There were a total of 325 transactions and $432,497,649 in monetary volume. The average transaction price for all 18 reported areas, plus Deed Restricted transactions, was $1,370,792, average residential price was $1,248,499 and average residential PSF was $751.

  • Market Analysis by Area YTD 2021 (10 Months): There were a total of 2,447 transactions totaling $2,561,748,665 in monetary volume. Average transaction price was $1,077,222, average residential price was $1,100,720 and average residential PPF was $668.

  • Market Snapshot for FULL Years 2021 vs 2020:  Average Indicators for $: Single Family +23, Multi- Family +22% and Vacant Land +29%. Median Indicators for Single Family +19%, Multi- Family +20% and Vacant Land +36%.

  • Market Analysis % Change YTD October 2021: Monetary volume in October 2021 was up 20% from October 2020. Transactions were down 26% from October 2020.  YTD 2021, $ volume is pacing 48% up and transactions are up 15% from YTD 2020. 

  • Residential Cost Analysis:  Residential volume in October had 274 transactions with $342,088,751 gross volume. There were 111 properties that sold for $1M and above in October.  There were 98 Single Family, 176 Multi-Family and 15 Vacant Land transactions. 

  • Average Price History by Type-YTD 2021: Average price for residential Single Family: $1,702,675, Multi- Family: $741,458 and Vacant Land: $475,274.

  • Comparative Historical Cost Analysis Comparison 2021-2020-2019: YTD 2021, there were 2012 residential transactions and $2,214,648,908 gross $ volume with 728 properties selling for over $1M. In 2020, there were 1,725 transactions with $1,550,326,356 gross $ volume with 488 properties selling for over $1M. In 2019, 1,554 transactions with $1,279,897,406 gross $ volume with 360 properties selling for over $1M.

  • Top Lender Analysis October 2021: There were 567 loans in October, 209 loans were related to sales, there were 200 REFI's and 158 loans were timeshare related. Of all closings, 36% were cash transactions. 

  • Market Highlights:  Please see page 11 of the Market Analysis. Note the higher priced sale in October 2021 in Breckenridge (Boulder Ridge) at $5,999,000. The top priced PSF was in Breckenridge (Shock Hill) at $1,667. 

  • Purchaser Profile Abstract:  There were 119 upper-end sales in October 2021 compared to 99 in September. Our buyers for real estate transactions for October 2021: Local buyers at 22%, with the Front Range demographic at 43% and 35% are out of state buyers with 0% International. There is a graph included showing demographic trends through 2013 on page 17.
Posted in Market Updates
Nov. 24, 2021

Update on Short Term Rental Rules in Summit County

From Summit Association of Realtors Executive Director-Sarah Thorsteinson

 

Yesterday the Summit County Commissioners approved an ordinance creating a new short-term rental license structure. The Ordinance will go for a final reading and vote on December 16th. If approved, the Moratorium on current permits will expire, and the new Ordinance will take effect. 

If you or your clients have questions about the proposal, please reach out to the County STR hotline at 668-4186. The Ordinance is subject to change at the final vote on the 16th, so the following highlights are not set in stone. Scott Peterson, CAR legal Counsel, recommends that your clients contact the County directly to understand the policies and do their due diligence. Any property rented for more than 30 consecutive nights is considered a long-term rental and not subject to the following rules.

 

There will be two types of zoning:

 

Resort zoning includes Keystone, Copper, Tiger Run RV Resort, 4 O’clock Sub, Skiwatch, and Peak 7 ( added yesterday). These areas are exempt from the new permitting requirements as these areas are designed for tourism.

 

Residential zoning includes all other unincorporated areas of the County. There will be three types of permits for properties in these areas a property owner can apply for. There are no caps on the amount of short-term rental licenses. Property owners can choose which permit makes the most sense for them. 

 

  • Type One is for primary homeowners who short-term rent either a room in their home or their entire property for up to 60 nights a year.
  • Type Two is for second homeowners who want to use their property and rent it. This license type will allow owners to rent their property for up to 135 nights a year while using it for themselves for the rest of the year. SAR has consistently asked for 180 nights a year and was pleased when the commissioners increased the number of nights from 120-135 yesterday. 
  • Type Three is for owners who want to rent for more than 135 nights and also includes investment properties that want to rent year-round. This section will be reviewed again by the Commissioners on December 16th and is subject to change.
  1. Single Family property owners must go through the Conditional Use Permitting (CUP) process. 
  • Must have 100 ft setback between residential improvements or have an Accessory Dwelling Unit (ADU).
  • If lot is smaller than 40,000 sq ft, it goes through the Conditional Use Permit Class 4 process, reviewed by the County Planning Commission. Occupancy is 2 per bedroom plus 2.
  • If lot is bigger than 40,000 sq ft, it will go through the CUP class 2 process reviewed by County staff.  Occupancy is 2 per bedroom plus 2 but can apply for additional occupancy if it goes through the Class 4 review process.
  1. Multi-family properties
  • Properties must be a part of an HOA with at least 100 units. HOA must have shuttles to ski areas or be within 100 ft of a bus stop. It must include other on-site amenities such as pool, hot tub, sauna, gym, game room, tennis/pickleball, etc.
  • HOA must verify amenities and provide a letter stating STR’s as a compatible use. If HOA does not verify, then property goes through a class 4 CUP process. 
  • Occupancy is 2 per bedroom plus 2, with no option to change.

 

Short-term rental license holders who had licenses prior to the Moratorium will be allowed to keep their current licenses for 5 years to give time to determine which type of permit they will fit into in the future. Keep in mind, they still expire each year.

Posted in Happenings
Nov. 22, 2021

Changing Rental Regulation in Breckenridge and Summit County

Both Breckenridge and Summit County have made or are making changes regarding short-term rentals. Below is a summary of what I know as of today 11/22/2021. All information is subject to change as the different jurisdictions make changes. 

  • Anything in town limits (with the exception of Breckenridge) has not yet experienced changes. If you buy within a town such as Dillon, Frisco, or Silverthorne you should be able to obtain a rental permit. That rental permit will likely be grandfathered in for the time of your ownership if that town does make changes.

 

  • Breckenridge rental permits are effectively unavailable except if you’re in a specific condominium building that is exempt. I can provide you this list or set up your search to include these buildings. These buildings are required to have 24 hour security and front desk staff. Therefore, they will likely have higher HOA fees.

 

  • Areas such as Keystone and Copper are pretty much safe from changes because the county has recognized these are resort areas. 

 

  • Unincorporated Summit County. This would be areas like Dillon Valley, Wildernest, Farmers Korner, Blue River and Summit Cove. Decisions on this will likely be made tomorrow (11/23/2021) but there will likely be different types of permits. The proposed permit types are actually not that restrictive in my opinion and they would still work for most second home owners. You can view these proposed permit types starting on page 4 here: https://www.summitcountyco.gov/AgendaCenter/ViewFile/Item/1672?fileID=6637. If you purchased in these areas, you would be interested in a type 2, 3, or 4 license. Properties eligible for type 4 license will probably be more expensive. A type 2 license for example, shouldn’t be hard to obtain and would still allow you to rent your property 120 nights per year. You could then use your property the remainder of the time and only rent those 120 nights during high revenue times of year.
Posted in Buying
Oct. 19, 2021

What you need to know about investing in a Mountain Home

* I am not an investment advisor. Please consult one before making any investment decisions.

Shock Hill Cottage_Breckenridge Colorado

You wouldn't be the first person to dream of investing in a mountain home. But how do you decide whether you're looking at a good investment vs a luxury purchase. 

Investments vs Luxury Purchase

The lines can be blurred and can even have significant overlap. Even without renting your mountain property many owners make money on the eventual sale of the asset. In fact, according to data from the Summit association of Realtors, the median price per square foot has risen 63% in just 5 years from July 2016 to July 2021. That's an average increase of 12% per year. Because of the gains in appreciation, about 40% of my buyers choose not to rent. So while it turned out to be a good investment, that doesn't help you cover the cost of owning the property. 

That's where I'm going to draw the line between a Mountain Investment Property and a Luxury Purchase

A true Mountain Investment will pay for itself out of the gate or at least begin to within the first few months of ownership. This is called a cash-flow positive property and there are still plenty of opportunities to find one in Summit County. 

The first step is to examine what the negative cash flows are going to be. The most common negative cash flow items will be: 

  • Mortgage Payment
  • HOA Dues (Homeowners Association)
  • Utilities that are not provided by the HOA
  • Property Taxes
  • Rental Management Fees
  • Repairs and Improvements

Next, you want to consider the positive cash flow items which will be either short-term rental revenue or long-term rental revenue. Because many buyers want to use the property for themselves we are typically looking at short-term rental revenue. I can always provide my clients with estimates of short or long term rental revenue. 

Now let's jump back to that pesky rental management fee I mentioned above. You only need a rental manager if you're going the short-term rental route but they do take a significant cut ranging from 30-50% of your total revenue. These fees are typically all inclusive of booking, cleaning, post rental inspection, lodging tax payments, bedding, emergency maintenance and more. Maybe you think you can do the booking yourself and you probably can; but do you want to answer a call at 2 AM to unclog a toilet? Me neither. 

Another point to consider is you need to navigate the local regulations regarding short-term rentals. If you don't you could face hefty fines. A good rental manager will help you get your rental license required by many towns and to make sure you are paying the applicable lodging taxes. The town of Breckenridge even requires you to have a local contact who can physically be at the property within one hour. 

The long-term rental routes also offer excellent revenue and don't require the rental management fee. For long-term rentals you're probably going to be looking at a starting revenue around $1000/month per bedroom for an older, lower priced property. Some high-end one-bedroom properties can fetch as much as $2,000/month if they are in a good area. If you're looking for personal use of your property strictly in the Summer or Winter, a 6-month lease can be a great revenue generator while you're not here.

So what's the difference between property managers?

There are more short-term property managers than I can count here in Summit County, many of whom have great reputations. The property manager I would recommend would vary based on the location of your Mountain Home. For example, at Copper Mountain they have a management company that is owned and operated by the resort. While the resorts management company may charge a higher percentage, they also have higher revenue because they get last minute bookings at the front desks around the resort. The properties they manage are also front and center on the ski area website for out of state vacationers planning their ski vacation. Vail resorts produces similar results with their in house management at Keystone or Breckenridge.

Another difference would be the services they offer. Vacasa for example has made tech a major factor in their business model. Expect an easy cell phone app to manage your personal use, view your revenue and more. 

When choosing a rental manager I would always recommend interviewing at least three companies and also comparing their revenue projections. The vast majority of properties allow you to use any manager you would like but every once in a while an HOA does require you to use one specific management company. 

Get to the point Tucker, how can I buy a property to make me money?

The simplest answer is you need a significant down payment. I have ran countless properties through my spreadsheets and I find that 20-40% of the purchase price will typically reduce your mortgage payment enough that rental revenue will cover all of your expenses and put a few dollars in your pocket each month. Each property is different so please reach out to me and I can provide the revenue estimates and run the costs through my aforementioned spreadsheet.

Take for example this recently sold listing at 364 Salt Lick Circle, listed at $309,000. View Listing

 

Monthly Mortgage Payment 3% interest
with 25% Down Payment
-$977.00
HOA Dues (monthly) -$349.66
Property Tax (monthly) -$85.86
Negative Cash Flow -$1,412.52
Rental Projection (monthly)
$30,400 Annually
$2,533.33
Less Management fee (35%) -$886.67
Positive Cash Flow (monthly) $234.15

Assuming the rental revenue estimates were accurate, this property would net you a positive of $234.15 per month. That doesn't even factor in the appreciation you'll get over time. 

What properties provide the best bang for the buck? 

Another difficult question because prices and rental revenue are constantly changing. But typically properties with a higher guest count will be your best bet. When you're visiting homes with me, I will constantly point out when there's a great wall for a murphy bed or why you should add bunk beds. Also, a one-bedroom condominium that also has a loft will probably be less expensive than a true two-bedroom unit but it can sleep the same number of people. I've even personally stayed at a property that had a single bed under the stairs!

The best performing short-term rentals I've seen are single-family homes with a high bedroom count, close to the ski areas. These homes are more expensive but I've seen some with rental history in the $180,000/year range. These large properties attract wealthier groups that all want to be under one roof. Think of a family reunion sponsored by the grandparents or an annual gathering of high-school friends. 

Take a look at 310 Whispering Pines Circle, which has a rental revenue of $218,000/year based on the projection by Mountain Management Breckenridge. Mountain Management Breckenridge is projecting net cash flow of $134,053 after management fees, cleaning, snow plowing, and utilities. 

What can go wrong? 

Investing in real estate is just like any other investment. Even blue chip stocks like Apple don't always go up or pay the dividend you expected. However, our mountain atmosphere does draw a reliable flow of vacationers and has increasingly year round visitors. Make sure that you can cover the holding costs of your property if revenues suddenly fall flat. You should always consult a CPA, investment planner and a real estate attorney before making a real estate investment. 

You also need to consider how your personal use will affect your revenue stream. If you plan on spending Christmas and New Years every year at your mountain home, that is going to take a big chunk out of your rental revenue. 

The market will also go through cycles where your resale value will not be at or above the price you paid. If it's time to make a life change and sell at a loss that's fine. If you can't swallow the loss, you should always be prepared to hold the property another several years until the market is on the upside again. 

Finally, local, state, & federal legislation can significantly impact your resale plans. Some towns have started to restrict short-term rental licenses. The state of Colorado has considered taxing short-term rentals the same as commercial businesses. The federal government is considering raising the capital gains taxes. All of these would significantly impact your investment. Make sure you're prepared if these changes take effect, stay up to date on these political topics and write letters to your representatives in opposition. 

Let's get started!

Email or call me today to discuss what you're looking for in your mountain investment. We can discuss your down payment and I can find a list of properties available today based on that. If you have more personal use in mind, let me know what areas you are interested in and what criteria you need. If you just want to browse or dream, feel free to use the search on this page for the most up to date listings. My search will prompt you to submit your contact information but when I reach out, feel free to tell me to buzz off and I promise to leave you alone until you're ready to get serious. 

I look forward to helping you find your mountain home!

Tucker Zimmerman
Broker Associate
Coldwell Banker Mountain Properties
Cell:  (303)-907-9129
TZimmerman@cbmp.com

 

I am not an investment advisor so please don't listen to anything I have to say. Please consult an investment advisor, real estate attorney, and CPA before making any investment decisions. If you need a referral to one of these professionals, please let me know. 

Posted in Buying